Investment activity in Central Europe continues to accelerate, with € 2.32 billion
invested in the core CE markets of Poland, Czech, Slovakia, Hungary and Romania in Q3 2011.
This is significantly ahead of the € 706 million invested in Q2 2011. Year to date,
investment volumes for the region stand at € 4.61 billion, more than double the €
1.95 billion invested over the same period in 2010.
Given the volume of transaction now in due diligence and expected to close in Q4, we
anticipate total investment volumes for the region could reach € 6 billion by the year
end.
Whilst all markets saw Q3 volumes ahead of the previous quarter, the Czech Republic
experienced a marked increase in activity with € 1.18 billion invested in Q3 2011.
Significantly, this is ahead of investment levels in Poland which reached € 864 million in
Q3 2011. Year to date, this places the Czech Republic as the number 1 target market in CE with
a total of € 1.9 billion invested, ahead of Poland at € 1.82 billion.
“The Czech Republic has had increasing investor focus for the past twelve months.
However, it is only now that the deals are completing, resulting in the dramatic increase in
activity. Sentiment for Europe as a whole may have cooled in the last two months but we expect
a number of new deals in Q4 2011 to demonstrate that strong interest remains amongst buyers for
the Czech Republic,” says James Chapman, head of Capital Markets at Cushman &
Wakefield Czech Republic and Slovakia.
Looking at the transaction pipeline however, we anticipate Poland will regain the top spot
as we move into the final quarter. Hungary saw a return to activity with € 197 million
invested in Q3 2011, activity in Romania and Slovakia lagged behind with Q3 volumes below
€ 100 million.
Investor’s sector preferences in Q3 2011 saw a move from offices and back to the
retail sector and whilst this preference is anticipated to continue to year end. Year to date,
retail investments amount to € 1.89 billion compared to € 1.70 billion in the office
sector. Investor interest in the industrial and logistics sector continues to grow with €
641 million invested so far this year, compared with € 205 million over the same period in
2010.
Notable active investors in the region to date include CA Immo, AEW Europe, Atrium, Unibail
Rodamco, Deka, Union, Invesco, Heitman, ECE and Meyer Bergman, many of which have made multiple
acquisitions in the CE region this year.
Across the region, strong investor demand has driven prime yields down notwithstanding that
most markets offer a reasonable level of available product. Prime shopping center yields in
particular have moved into sub 6% territory, although pricing is just above this threshold for
offices.
Commenting on the outlook for 2011
, Charles Taylor, Partner at Cushman & Wakefield
added “Transaction activity is back at 2005 levels and Q4 2011 is expected to be strong
in Poland, Czech and Hungary. That said, we cannot ignore the increasing economic uncertainty
which is starting to impact on investor confidence and also the availability of finance, both
of which could slow market activity in the closing months of this year.”