‘An increasing number of retailers and investors are stepping up cross border
activity and international expansion in search of growth in response to downbeat economic
sentiment in Europe,’ according to a new report from Cushman & Wakefield,
What’s in store for European retail 2012?
Cushman & Wakefield expects to see international expansion move yet further up the
agenda for the leading brands in 2012 but points out that retailers are still exercising
caution and are actively evaluating their existing store portfolios to lessen costs and
maximise margins where they can, with many restricting their focus to major global cities in
the prime high street and shopping centre locations.
A focus on modern space ties in with retailers’ need for efficiency, sustainability
and for the integration of technology. However Cushman & Wakefield’s `What’s
in store for European retail 2012?’ report highlights the increasingly tight supply
of prime space, with availability not helped by a trend for some retailers to buy their own
freeholds. Market access will not be made any easier by the limited development pipeline and
the report suggests this will be a major challenge to retailers’ expansion
strategies. Furthermore, the currently projected delivery total of 6.8 million sq.m for
2011 (46% accounted for by Russia and Turkey) is likely to fall short due to various schemes
reporting delays.
Retailers rush to embrace multi-channel offering
The race is on for retailers to adapt their stores, their methods of operation and
strategies to enhance the customer experience and to develop their multi-channel offer, with
m-commerce as well as e-commerce likely to be a key battleground ahead. No one strategy can be
assumed to work in all markets but a need for efficient, wired and well-located visible
property will be a key theme in all top cities according to Cushman & Wakefield.
“Retailers in the Czech Republic are generally aware of these trends although the push
for hybrid distribution models is still driven by companies which grew up in the e-commerce
segment. As elsewhere in Europe, the lack of flexible logistics solutions remains the main
bottleneck of the industry,” says Alexander Rafajlovič, head of research at C&W
Czech Republic and Slovakia.
Retailers however face falling supply levels for the best space and with development
limited, rents have been bid up by the competition. In more secondary areas however the reverse
is still true – availability is high and often still rising and rents and incentives
remain under pressure.
“Going forward, we will see further polarisation in the performance and segmentation
of shopping centres. On the other hand, there are several examples of secondary schemes being
able to adapt once they focus on serving local communities and zero in on the convenience or
mass market segment. Although this can save the centre, the same cannot necessarily be said
about the value the developer or investor ascribed to it initially.” says Alexander
Rafajlovič.
Mark Burlton, head of EMEA retail tenant rep at Cushman & Wakefield explained;
“With local markets getting tougher and in some cases stagnating, an increasing number of
brands are diversifying into new untapped markets which provide much needed and exciting
potential for revenue growth. At the same time, shopping centre owners and landlords are
seeking new and often foreign brands with innovative store designs and an enhanced customer
experience which is helping to drive cross border expansion and innovation. The basic message
we have for success in the market in 2012 is to keep it fresh – the market is crying out
for new ideas and concepts – but stay focused on prime – retailers still need
access, proximity and visibility.”
Retail economy: polarized but slow into 2012
Cushman & Wakefield expects the best value and luxury retailers to continue to perform
strongly. Frugal spending and a focus on value by consumers has benefitted value retailers and
discounters such as Lidl, Aldi, Primark and H&M whom are expanding their portfolios,
while the very wealthy are more insulated from economic headwinds and more particularly,
consumers in general still aspire to the best when they can, ensuring that many luxury
retailers continue to prosper.
LUXURY VS. VALUE

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*: Average year-on-year growth in revenue of LVMH, Richemont, Polo Ralph Lauren, Gucci and
Chanel.
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**: Average year-on-year growth in revenue of H&M, TJX Companies, Primark, Aldi and
Lidl
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Source: Verdict, Mintel, Datamonitor and Company Records
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