Rents driven up by competition for existing space and new construction; largest tenants lock
in room for growth as available space declines
Cushman & Wakefield today released its first quarter report for the Manhattan commercial
real estate market showing rents rising across the city's three major office markets of
Midtown, Midtown South and Downtown.
Average asking rents for Manhattan office space reached $43.20 per square foot at the end of
March, their highest point in three and a half years, compared to $40.58 at year-end 2005. The
rent rise comes as overall leasing activity slowed in the first quarter, totaling 5.4 million
square feet, down 19 percent from 6.7 million square feet in the first quarter of 2005.
More significantly, the number of tenants willing to pay a premium for the city's most
expensive space has jumped dramatically. In the first quarter alone, 15 leases were completed
at rents of more than $100 per square foot, compared to just 10 in all of 2005.
Joe Harbert, Cushman & Wakefield's chief operating officer for the firm's New York Metro
Region, said the rising rents are attributable to "a limited supply of available high
quality space in Midtown, competition among tenants for existing space, and the addition of
newer buildings to the market at significantly higher rents, which together tend to pull asking
and effective rents up."
The vacancy rate for class-A space in Midtown available directly from owners stood at 5.8
percent at the end of the first quarter, up slightly from 5.6 percent at yearend. The overall
Midtown vacancy rate for all classes of space remained at 7.8 percent, unchanged from year-end
statistics, despite the addition of new space related to the completion of 505 Fifth Avenue, a
new building in the Grand Central District.
In Downtown Manhattan, average asking rents rose to roughly $35 per square foot, up from $31 at
the end of the year. The Downtown vacancy rate rose to 11.6 percent from 10.6 percent during
the same time period. The increase in both cases was due primarily to the completion of 7 World
Trade Center - the first new office building to be built at the site of the former World Trade
Center - and the addition of its available space inventory to statistics.
Despite the vacancy rate rise, Downtown Manhattan's vacancy is still among the lowest in the
nation, ranking seventh among 30 major U.S. markets at the end of the first quarter, according
to Cushman & Wakefield statistics. The top 10 markets in the nation with the lowest vacancy
rates are Midtown South in Manhattan (6.2%), Washington, D.C. (7.1%), Bellevue, Wash. (7.5%),
Midtown Manhattan (7.8%), Orange County, Calif. (8.5%), Portland, Ore. (11.2%), Downtown
Manhattan (11.6%), Seattle, Wash. (11.6%), Oakland, Calif. (12.6%) and Boston, Mass.
(12.9%).
Bruce Mosler, Cushman & Wakefield's president and chief executive officer, said the
fundamental health of the Downtown Manhattan commercial real estate market has been
overshadowed by indecision over the World Trade Center rebuilding effort.
"You have the fourth largest business district in the nation holding its own in an
environment of uncertainty," Mr. Mosler said. "The fact is that New York City is
facing an office space shortage, which requires immediate attention to shift ongoing debate
back to business. Preservation of New York's stature as the world's financial and business
capital depends to a large degree on fulfilling the needs of growing companies. Downtown
Manhattan is the most viable option for the near and mid-term to meet the demand for new office
space."
The shortage of office space Mr. Mosler alluded to is predominantly in Midtown and Midtown
South. During the first quarter of 2006, businesses anticipating a rapidly decreasing landscape
of premier office space, either renewed leases early or added more space to their existing
leases. The number of office lease renewals or expansions of 50,000 square feet or more totaled
nine in the first quarter of 2006, compared to four in the first quarter of 2005.
According to Mr. Harbert, as available space in Midtown Manhattan continues to decline,
Downtown's options will increasingly appeal to tenants in the market. The gap between the most
expensive submarket in Midtown and the least expensive submarket Downtown - for comparable
class-A space - was $46 per square foot at the end of the first quarter.
Mr. Harbert explained that the difference in annual rent for a 10,000 square foot class-A lease
in Midtown's Madison-Fifth Avenue submarket, which has average asking rents of $74.78 per
square foot, and Downtown's Financial West, which has average rents of $28.86, would be nearly
$500,000 annually.
"The cost savings Downtown are tremendous, and clearly one of the most important factors
influencing tenants' decisions to locate operations Downtown," said Mr. Harbert.
Financial services firms continued to be the most active industry leasing office space in
Manhattan, accounting for 37.5 percent of all leasing year to date, compared to 28.8 percent in
all of 2005. Law firms, the second most active industry in 2005, fell to seventh most active,
as not-for-profit and government agencies moved into second place at more than 13 percent of
all leasing. Communications and media firms were the third most active, accounting for almost 9
percent of leasing.
Among the top leasing deals of the first quarter were Bank of America at One Bryant Park
(516,000 square feet), Ross Stores at 1372 Broadway (165,000 square feet), and Advance Magazine
Publishers at 1166 Avenue of the Americas (81,000 square feet).
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