Annual investment in regional offices and industrial space jumped 19% in 2009 to stand at
£4.759bn, buoyed by the return of UK institutions, according to Cushman & Wakefield’s new
Business Briefing: Great Britain Capital Markets.
The final six months of 2009 saw an 80% increase in volumes compared with the first six
months with, in total, £2.487bn invested in industrial and £2.272bn in offices. 2010 has
also started off encouragingly with £640m of office transactions and £285m of industrial
transactions carried over from 2009 and under offer or complete.
UK institutions returned to the market especially in the last four months of the year, and
dominated the buying in the last half year totals accounting for 46% of office (£653m) and 59%
of industrial (£966m). Competitive bidding on prime properties meant money was
subsequently chasing secondary properties, especially within the industrial sector, something
the market has not seen any significant evidence off since 2007.
The South East (excluding London), the Midlands and Scotland were the principle focus for
investors in 2009 accounting for £1.539bn, £690m and £535m of deals respectively. Prime
regional CBD office yields are now the lowest coming in to 5.75% at December from 7% at
June. Prime yields for industrial property however have shown greater movement with prime
regional industrial estates for example coming in to 7.25% from 9% at June.
James Leach, head of UK business space investment, Cushman & Wakefield, said: “There was
seismic improvement in regional office sentiment in the second half of the year which
significantly increased turnover and lead to dramatic capital growth. Whilst activity has
been focused on the prime end of the market, towards the end of the year we began to see
improved demand for secondary property where pricing has, in contrast to the prime market,
appreciated less. With the market returning from its traditional summer recess the
effects of this improvement in sentiment, lead by the UK institutions, only really took effect
in September with December eventually accounting for 25% of the year’s total turnover.”
Richard Peace, partner UK industrial investment, Cushman & Wakefield, said: “The final
six months of 2009 saw a 93% increase in deal volume over the first six months. This was
largely down to the return of the UK institutions rather than a significant increase in the
availability of stock. Demand is still highest in the South East for prime product but
secondary stock has also started to trade as market confidence has slowly started to
recover. Industrial estates have again become popular with UK institutions with some
assets seeing up to 15 bids and quoting yields being beaten by up to 100 basis points.
Overseas buyers have therefore been largely priced out of the market in the last six months
having been prolific buyers in the previous 12 months. With many prime deals now going
below 7%, these buyers have now begun to focus on other European markets offering higher
returns.”
Ends