The European banking sector has seen a continuation of an influx of Chinese banks and a rise
in office take-up during the last six months according to a new report from global real estate
adviser Cushman & Wakefield.
It has been reported that two of China’s biggest banks: Agricultural Bank of China and
China Bank of Communications placed under offer space at 1 Bartholomew Lane in London during
the last month.
The large majority are taking space in London, although there are smaller numbers looking at
Milan, Madrid, Paris and the Benelux region. As a number of Chinese banks have undertaken
rights issues to raise capital and are likely to use some of these funds for future expansion
within Europe, this trend is likely to continue.
Other Chinese banks that have taken office space in Europe during the last 18 months
include; Industrial & Commercial Bank of China (Milan and Madrid), China Exim Bank (Paris),
China Construction Bank, Industrial & Commercial Bank of China, Peoples Bank of China,
Bank of China and China International Capital Corporation (all in London).
Total European banking sector take-up of office space totalled over 440,000 sq m in the six
months over Q2 & Q3 2010, an increase of almost 8% on the
previous half year’s total. This is the highest figure since Q4 2008 and when
compared to the same period in 2009, reveals that banking take-up has more than doubled. The
banking sector continues to account for 11 per cent of overall office leasing activity.
Over the past six months the top three financial centres within Europe (London – City
& Docklands, Paris – Ile De France and Frankfurt) have accounted for 65% of total
banking take-up. Activity in London, dominated by the large UBS pre-let at 6 Broadgate, has
remained strong. Frankfurt’s banking sector has seen the highest level of take-up over
the Q2 & Q3 2010 period, while activity in Warsaw and Milan has also picked up. A notable
uplift in Milan was primarily as a result of a large pre-let of 35,000 sq. m agreed by
Unicredit.
Locations such as Prague, Amsterdam and Madrid have seen letting activity within the banking
sector decline over the past year. This follows the prevailing trend within these office
markets with low economic growth, occupational demand and a general easing in market
activity.
The largest deal of the past six months was the 104,000 sq. m European Central Bank owner
occupation transaction in Frankfurt. This follows the trend from the previous half-year where
four out of the ten largest deals were by owner occupiers. Also emerging is the rise of
pre-letting transactions. Both these strategies are linked to the lack of supply of good
quality stock, in particular that with high sustainability credentials, and reflect alternative
strategies to secure suitable space by whatever means necessary. Two of the three largest deals
in the last six months were pre-leases and in the previous half-year pre-lets accounted for
over 75,000 sq. m, almost 19% of total banking take-up.
A shortage of quality office space and a lack of speculative development is emerging in many
markets across Europe, and rents are starting to increase as a result. Growth is being lead by
central London, where prime rents in the City are now €683 per sq. m. a rise of 29% over
the year, while rents in the centre of Paris have increased by 15% to €760 per sq. m.
Guy Douetil, Head of Cushman & Wakefield’s EMEA banking group, said:
“Compared to the volatile and often downright hazardous conditions experienced in 2009
and early 2010, the banking sector has experienced a relatively quiet and stable time over the
past six months. We are continuing to see an improvement in sentiment in the occupational
office market, although lease events still dominate and a cautious attitude still
prevails.”
Matthew Knight, Senior Surveyor in Cushman & Wakefield’s EMEA banking group, said:
“We believe that owner occupier and pre-let deals will continue while supply remains
tight and as more and more markets are perceived to have bottomed-out. Rent rises are a danger
for occupiers who wait too long and we are likely to see a growing number of banks undertaking
pre-lets as they seek stability and to secure favourable terms for the future.”